In total, 15 models and approaches have been applied to one or more of the exercises conducted by the BWG. The models/approaches applied encompass those being developed, and in some instances, used in a regulatory context, in Belgium, Canada, France, Lithuania, Russia, the UK and the USA, as well as the outputs of recent EC EURATOM programmes. The participating models included those readily available to any interested user (RESRAD-BIOTA, the ERICA Tool, England and Wales Environment Agency R&D 128 and FASSET) and in-house models being used/developed by various BWG participants for a description of all participating models). Group members included modellers, regulators, industry and researchers.
The BWG conducted two intercomparison exercises to enable an evaluation of the basic components of the models and subsequently two model-data comparisons:
Recommendations of the BWG
Whilst the need for a system to protect the environment from ionising radiation is now generally recognised many aspects including the discussion of protection goals, agreement of benchmark values and parameterisation of models applied in the work described here are still under development.
An aim of the BWG was to improve the models used by Members States. The collaborative exercises led to the sharing of parameters and re-parameterisation by some of the participating models. However, the model-model inter-comparisons and the scenario applications only compared a limited number of radionuclides. Additionally, whilst the scenarios considered sites for which extensive databases were available, these may not, especially Chernobyl, be typical of situations needing to be assessed within regulatory frameworks.A a suggested future direction for the activities of the BWG was outlined:
Transfer parametersThe work of the BWG has clearly demonstrated that the largest contribution to variability between model predictions, and comparison with available data, is the parameterisation of the models transfer components. Other studies are in agreement with this conclusion. There is a clear need to better share knowledge on the transfer of radionuclides to biota and to provide authoritative collations of those
data which are available. It is suggested that a document for biota which is equivalent to the IAEA handbook on transfer parameters for human food chains should be produced.
ICRP frameworkOutputs of the ICRP should clearly be considered by the BWG and if possible the ICRP outputs should
be evaluated in any future scenario applications and model intercomparisons.
Future scenariosFuture scenarios should focus on situations which regulators/industry are having to consider (e.g. waste
repositories, assessments for new power stations, sites contaminated by TeNORM). Such scenarios
would enable the comparison of the available approaches within a regulatory context, and evaluation
of the various tiers of assessment (from screening level through to detailed assessment) which the more
comprehensive approaches contain. Consideration should also be given to involving more 'informed
users' within the BWG rather than a predominance of model developers.
Radiation effects dataThe models used by the BWG predict dose rates to biota, but there is also a need to define benchmark
dose rates for use within assessments and be able to determine the potential consequences of predicted
dose rates. A large amount of data on the effects of ionising radiation on biota has recently been
collated into the FREDERICA database (see www.frederica-online.org). This compilation can be used to
aid decision-making on the potential impact of predicted exposures to ionising radiation. However, the
effects data available in the FREDERICA database cover only a proportion of the available scientific
literature. Furthermore, to be of most use to decision-makers there is a need to better evaluate the quality
of much of these data to ensure that they are applicable. It is suggested that this could be best achieved
through a subgroup of the BWG.
Whilst approaches from chemical assessments (such as species sensitivity distributions) are being
adopted in trying to define dose rate benchmarks for biota, these do not really inform us of the actual
potential impact on a given species or ecosystem. It is suggested that the BWG should consider how
population modelling techniques (from other fields) might be applied to aid setting thresholds against
which the degree of environmental protection can be determined.